Do people trust US elections? Here’s what we know
A survey found that a growing number of Americans would doubt the election results if their candidate does not win. Here’s what we know.
Election Day 2024 is now 47 days away and the campaigns wage on.
With the presidential debate a week behind us and the vice-presidential debate looming two weeks out, it’s a sprint to the finish for all the candidates.
Former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris faced off last week in their first-ever meeting and debate. There is no confirmed prospect for another debate between the two candidates.
The vice presidential debate between Republican Sen. JD Vance of Ohio and Democratic Gov. Tim Walz of Minnesota will face off is set for Oct. 1.
Will Trump be returned to the White House with Vance at his side or will Harris become the first female president with progressive partner Walz at her side?
Here’s what the current polls show:
Who is leading in the polls and favored in the odds?ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls 48.3% to Trump 45.3% compared to Harris 47.1% to Trump 44.4% one week ago, or compared to two weeks ago – Harris 47.1% to Trump at 43.9% and compared to three weeks ago – Harris 47.0% to Trump at 43.7%270towin shows Harris leading the national polls by 2.5% over Trump compared to Harris 0.9% over Trump one week ago, or compared to two weeks ago – Harris 2.7% over Trump and compared to three weeks ago – Harris 1.9% over Trumprealclearpolling shows the betting odds are in Harris’ favor with a spread of 2.0 over Trump compared to Harris +1.1 over Trump last week or compared to two weeks ago – Harris +1.8 over Trump and compared to three weeks ago – Harris +1.7 over TrumpPolymarket, a crypto-trading platform is expressing odds by the betting public, in favor of Harris over Trump by 2% compared to Harris over Trump by 1% last week or compared to two weeks ago – Trump over Harris by 4% and compared to three weeks ago – Harris was leading by 1% point over Trump.
Polls and odds are constantly changing. These numbers were reflected as of Wednesday, Sept. 18, 2024 at 7 a.m.
How Harris’ and Trump’s odds of winning the 2024 presidential election changedHow accurate have election odds or polls been in past presidential elections?
The betting favorite has only lost twice since 1866, according to the Conversation, a nonprofit news organization.
The track record on polling is more challenging as different pollsters asking different varieties of the population can often draw higher margins for error.
According to Pew Research, confidence in the public’s opinion polling has suffered given the errors in the presidential elections of 2016 and 2020.
In both of these general elections, many polls underestimated the strength of the Republican candidates, including Donald Trump.
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Publish date : 2024-09-20 23:43:00
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