With both teams rested following Week 4 byes, the early betting lines favor Georgia to take down Alabama at Bryant-Denny Stadium on Saturday night.
The Bulldogs and Crimson Tide last met in the 2023 SEC Championship when Alabama earned a 27-24 victory and a trip to the College Football Playoff.
UGA head coach Kirby Smart is 1-5 vs. the Tide but with the Nick Saban era ending, the Week 5 matchup will show if the trend continues.
Check out our Alabama National Championship and SEC Championship predictions before the odds shift following Alabama vs. Georgia.
Georgia vs. Alabama prediction
Alabama +2: -108 odds at DraftKings Sportsbook
Georgia and Alabama have one of the fiercest rivalries in college football. The Bulldogs and Tide have been battling for SEC supremacy since Smart took over at UGA in 2015.
Bryant-Denny Stadium will be rocking, especially if the Tide have the Bulldogs on the ropes late in the game.
Alabama has been dominant on both sides of the ball, ranking top six nationally in points scored and points allowed per game.
Georgia’s defense is a force but the offense looked questionable in a near upset loss vs. Kentucky in Week 3.
A decisive edge along the line of scrimmage helped the Crimson Tide win last year’s SEC Championship, and I predict a similar storyline to unfold Saturday night.
QB Jalen Milroe has been getting much better protection than last season, and a big game from freshman WR Ryan Williams will help Alabama cover the spread.
CFB Week 5 Georgia vs. Alabama odds
According to the PFF Greenline, 81% of the money wagered on Georgia vs. Alabama is backing the Bulldogs.
In terms of bet slips, 79% of tickets are on UGA. Georgia is 1-2 against the spread this season, while the Tide are 2-1.
Most of the money bet and bet slips are taking the over, and the teams combined for 51 points in the last meeting. However, the under has cashed in all three Georgia games this year.
Georgia vs. Alabama moneyline odds analysisWhy Georgia could win as the favorite
Best odds: -125 at BetMGM Sportsbook
Kentucky fans were close to storming the field the last time Georgia played.
Instead, the Bulldogs defense saved the day in a 13-12 win over the Wildcats.
QB Carson Beck had just 160 passing yards and UGA ball carriers barely surpassed 100 yards.
There’s no reason to overreact on Georgia because the Dawgs seem to get in tight matchups vs. inferior opponents every season.
UGA has +400 odds to win the National Championship at FanDuel Sportsbook, second-best behind Ohio State.
Georgia’s defense allows the fewest passing yards per game and has eight sacks through three games.
While Milroe has looked good through three games, oddsmakers are expecting regression when he faces the Bulldogs.
Why Alabama could win as the underdog
Best odds: +110 at bet365 Sportsbook
Alabama’s offensive line must continue playing at a high level to beat the Bulldogs. Establishing the run with RBs Jam Miller and Justice Haynes will create opportunities for Milroe to hit Williams downfield.
If the Crimson Tide can’t stay ahead of the sticks and are forced into obvious passing plays, there’s a good chance Milroe throws his first interception of the season.
Avoiding costly mistakes like turnovers is extremely important against a premier defense like Georgia’s.
Bulldogs QB Carson Beck faces his toughest matchup to date on Saturday night and the Crimson Tide have to make Beck uncomfortable in the pocket.
Georgia has only allowed one sack this season, and communication could be challenging for the Dawgs when Bryant-Denny Stadium brings the noise.
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Publish date : 2024-09-24 08:47:00
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