Vice President Kamala Harris has been handed good news in Pennsylvania, a state seen by many as a key to winning the White House in this year’s presidential election.
A poll released on Monday by USA Today/Suffolk University shows Harris leading former President Donald Trump among likely voters in Pennsylvania by a margin of 48.6 percent to 45.6 percent, the vice president’s best polling result in the state this month and one of her better results since President Joe Biden dropped out of the race and endorsed her on July 21.
Harris had a massive advantage over Trump among women voters, leading the former president by a margin of 56 percent to 39 percent. Trump had a clear but smaller lead among men—53 percent of male voters preferred the former president, while 41 percent preferred the vice president.
The results of the poll may be encouraging for the Harris campaign, as Pennsylvania’s 19 Electoral College votes could prove crucial along the candidates’ paths to victory in November. However, the results are also within the survey’s 4.4 percent margin of error and were conducted among a relatively small sample size of 500 likely voters.
Vice President Kamala Harris is pictured speaking at a watch party following her debate with former President Donald Trump in Philadelphia on September 10. A trio of new polls show Harris leading Trump in Pennsylvania…
Vice President Kamala Harris is pictured speaking at a watch party following her debate with former President Donald Trump in Philadelphia on September 10. A trio of new polls show Harris leading Trump in Pennsylvania and in two “bellwether” counties within the state.
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Harris received additional good news in two separate USA Today/Suffolk polls of Pennsylvania’s Erie and Northampton counties—both “bellwether” counties where outcomes have correctly predicted the overall winner of presidential elections since 2008.
The polls show Trump trailing Harris by 5 points in Northampton County and 4 percentage points in Erie County. Biden won both counties by a narrow 1 percent margin in 2020, while Trump defeated former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton in 2016 by 4 points in Northampton and 2 points in Erie.
All of the polls were conducted after Harris and Trump took part in their first and possibly only presidential debate, in Philadelphia on September 10. Harris was viewed as the winner of the debate by most polls and pundits, and has received a small polling boost in multiple surveys following the debate.
Newsweek reached out for comment to the Trump and Harris campaigns via email on Monday night.
An average of recent polls compiled by RealClearPolitics shows Harris with a tiny 0.2 percent lead over Trump in Pennsylvania as of Monday. An average from FiveThirtyEight, which did not include the USA Today/Suffolk poll, had Harris leading in the state by 0.7 percent with 50 days until Election Day.
While Pennsylvania may be considered a must-win state by both Harris and Trump, the candidates each have alternative paths to victory by winning a combination of several other neck-and-neck races in battleground states that could also prove decisive in November.
Harris was leading Trump on Monday in polling averages of other “Rust Belt” battlegrounds including Michigan and Wisconsin, while the former president had an edge in some “Sun Belt” states like Georgia and Arizona.
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Publish date : 2024-09-16 15:35:00
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