Wisconsin improved to 2-0 on the young season with a 27-13 win over South Dakota on Saturday afternoon.
The performance saw some steps forward after the team’s pedestrian Week 1 performance. Those steps include explosive plays from Phil Longo’s offense, zero offensive turnovers and strong defensive stops in the red zone. But while there were steps forward, the Badgers still have outstanding questions entering a big-time Week 3 matchup with No. 4 Alabama.
Related: Takeaways from Wisconsin’s uninspiring Week 2 win over South Dakota
Badgers fans were, in a word, not confident after the Week 2 win. While Wisconsin is 2-0 for the first time since 2020, the wins have come in less-than-convincing fashion.
That lack of on-field dominance is seen in ESPN FPI’s latest update. Wisconsin dropped 16 spots down to No. 63 in the nation. FPI now ranks the Badgers in the vicinity of the Big Ten’s bottom tier of UCLA, Michigan State and Northwestern.
But how much has the team’s performance specifically affected its rest-of-season outlook? Here are ESPN FPI’s latest game-by-game predictions for the rest of the Badgers schedule:
Date: Sept. 14
Matchup Predictor: 7.8% Wisconsin wins (down from 9.4%)
Alabama FPI Rank: No. 3 (26.2)
Alabama 2024 Record: 2-0
Get more (Alabama) news, analysis and opinions on Roll Tide Wire
Wisconsin’s first bye week arrives early, but before a critical Week 5 trip to USC. This will be an interesting time to reevaluate where the team stands after the Alabama game.
Date: Sept. 28
Matchup Predictor: 12.4% Wisconsin wins (down from 21.3%)
USC FPI Rank: No. 8 (16.5)
USC 2024 Record: 2-0
Get more (USC) news, analysis and opinions on Trojans Wire
Date: Oct. 5
Matchup Predictor: 51.8% Wisconsin wins (down from 55.5%)
Purdue FPI Rank: No. 48 (3.8)
Purdue 2024 Record: 1-0
Date: Oct. 12
Matchup Predictor: 36.9% Wisconsin wins (down from 49.6%)
Rutgers FPI Rank: No. 51 (3.6)
Rutgers 2024 Record: 2-0
Date: Oct. 19
Matchup Predictor: 52.1% Wisconsin wins (down from 56.1%)
Northwestern FPI Rank: No. 70 (-1.1)
Northwestern 2024 Record: 1-1
Date: Oct. 26
Matchup Predictor: 15.4% Wisconsin wins (up from 13.4%)
Penn State FPI Rank: No. 7 (17.8)
Penn State 2024 Record: 2-0
Get more (Penn State) news, analysis and opinions on Nittany Lions Wire
Date: Nov. 2
Matchup Predictor: 32.7% Wisconsin wins (down from 33.4%)
Iowa FPI Rank: No. 37 (5.8)
Iowa 2024 Record: 1-1
Get more (Iowa) news, analysis and opinions on Hawkeyes Wire
Wisconsin’s second bye week leads into the most important part of the schedule. It is right before the Badgers host top-ranked Oregon and finish with critical games against rivals Nebraska and Minnesota.
For the sake of the team competing late in the year, this is a well-timed bye week.
Date: Nov. 16
Matchup Predictor: 31.0% Wisconsin wins (down from 31.9%)
Oregon FPI Rank: No. 13 (13.5)
Oregon 2024 Record: 2-0
Get more (Oregon) news, analysis and opinions on Ducks Wire
Date: Nov. 23
Matchup Predictor: 27.4% Wisconsin wins (down from 34.9%)
Nebraska FPI Rank: No. 28 (8.3)
Nebraska 2024 Record: 2-0
Get more (Nebraska) news, analysis and opinions on Cornhuskers Wire
Date: Nov. 29 (Friday)
Matchup Predictor: 51.5% Wisconsin wins (down from 62.8%)
Minnesota FPI Rank: No. 56 (2.8)
Minnesota 2024 Record: 1-1
Projected W-L: 5.2 — 6.8
Percentage chance Wisconsin …
Wins six or more games: 40.8
Wins Big Ten: 0.1
Makes College Football Playoff: 0.9
Wins National Title: 0.0
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Publish date : 2024-09-08 03:00:00
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